Tuesday Takeaway

Market Insights:
December 28, 2021

Posted on December 27, 2021

Greedy Innkeeper or Generous Capitalist?

Brian S. Wesbury, Chief Economist
Robert Stein, Deputy Chief Economist
Date: 12/27/2021

The Bible story of the virgin birth is at the center of much of the holiday cheer this time of year.  The book of Luke tells us that Mary and Joseph traveled to Bethlehem because Caesar Augustus decreed a census should be taken.  Mary gave birth after arriving in Bethlehem and placed baby Jesus in a manger because there was “no room for them in the inn.”

Some people think Mary and Joseph were mistreated by a greedy innkeeper, who only cared about profits and decided the couple was not “worth” his normal accommodations.  This version of the story (narrative) has been repeated many times in plays, skits, and sermons.  It fits an anti-capitalist mentality that paints business owners as greedy, or even evil.

It persists even though the Bible records no complaints and there was apparently no charge for the stable.  It may be the stable was the only place available.  Bethlehem was over-crowded with people forced to return to their ancestral home for a census – ordered by the Romans – for the purpose of levying taxes.  If there was a problem, it was due to unintended consequences of government policy.  In this narrative, the government caused the problem.

The innkeeper was generous to a fault – a hero even.  He was over-booked, but he charitably offered his stable, a facility he built with unknowing foresight.  The innkeeper was willing and able to offer this facility even as government officials, who ordered and administered the census, slept in their own beds with little care for the well-being of those who had to travel regardless of their difficult life circumstances.

If you must find “evil” in either of these narratives, remember that evil is ultimately perpetrated by individuals, not the institutions in which they operate.  And this is why it’s important to favor economic and political systems that limit the use and abuse of power over others.  In the story of baby Jesus, a government law that requires innkeepers to always have extra rooms, or to take in anyone who asks, would “fix” the problem.

But these laws would also have unintended consequences.  Fewer investors would back hotels because the cost of the regulations would reduce returns on investment.  A hotel big enough to handle the rare census would be way too big in normal times.  Even a bed and breakfast would face the potential of being sued.  There would be fewer hotel rooms, prices would rise, and innkeepers would once again be called greedy.  And if history is our guide, government would chastise them for price-gouging and then try to regulate prices.

This does not mean free markets are perfect or create utopia; they aren’t and they don’t.  But businesses can’t force you to buy a service or product.  You have a choice – even if it’s not exactly what you want.  And good business people try to make you happy in creative and industrious ways.

Government doesn’t always care.  In fact, if you happen to live in North Korea or Cuba, and are not happy about the way things are going, you can’t leave.  And just in case you try, armed guards will help you think things through.
This is why the Framers of the US Constitution made sure there were “checks and balances” in our system of government.  These checks and balances don’t always lead to good outcomes; we can think of many times when some wanted to ignore these safeguards.  But, over time, the checks and balances help prevent the kinds of despotism we’ve seen develop elsewhere.

Neither free market capitalism, nor the checks and balances of the Constitution are the equivalent of having a true Savior.  But they should give us all hope that the future will be brighter than many seem to think.

This report was prepared by First Trust Advisors L. P., and reflects the current opinion of the authors. It is based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security

Weekly Market Insights

Stock Index Performance (12/27/2021)

Dow Jones Industrial Avg. (35,951)1.65%19.65%21.55%9.72%15.07%
S&P 500 (4,726)2.30%27.57%29.89%18.39%18.01%
NASDAQ 100 (16,308)3.22%27.41%29.78%48.88%28.21%
S&P 500 Growth2.86%31.52%33.90%33.46%23.73%
S&P 500 Value1.67%23.09%25.33%1.35%11.35%
S&P MidCap 400 Growth2.65%17.01%16.37%22.77%14.21%
S&P MidCap 400 Value2.32%28.33%28.58%3.71%10.49%
S&P SmallCap 600 Growth3.56%20.86%19.70%19.56%13.93%
S&P SmallCap 600 Value2.74%29.86%30.65%2.48%9.92%
MSCI EAFE1.58%10.21%12.03%7.82%9.48%
MSCI World (ex US)1.27%6.71%8.72%10.65%9.60%
MSCI World2.13%20.82%22.62%15.90%14.77%
MSCI Emerging Markets0.31%-3.62%-0.96%18.31%10.19%

S&P Performance (12/27/2021)

Communication Services2.55%22.54%25.11%23.61%11.55%
Consumer Discretionary3.82%23.92%26.56%33.30%20.84%
Consumer Staples0.80%15.73%17.77%10.75%11.08%
Health Care1.38%24.71%27.38%13.45%17.28%
Information Technology3.29%33.89%36.12%43.89%31.60%
Real Estate0.56%40.78%44.81%-2.17%14.31%

Bond Performance (12/27/2021)

U.S. Treasury: Intermediate-0.24%-1.74%-1.71%5.78%2.43%
GNMA 30 Year-0.10%-1.50%-1.40%3.68%2.35%
U.S. Aggregate-0.37%-1.70%-1.50%7.51%3.70%
U.S. Corporate High Yield0.51%5.05%5.78%7.11%6.29%
U.S. Corporate Investment Grade-0.40%-1.36%-0.85%9.89%5.38%
Municipal Bond: Long Bond (22+)0.01%3.11%3.22%6.25%5.69%
Global Aggregate-0.47%-4.83%-4.31%9.20%3.52%

Key Rates (12/27/2021)

Fed Funds0.00% – 0.25%2-yr T-Note0.69%
LIBOR (1-month)0.10%5-yr T-Note1.24%
CPI – Headline6.80%10-yr T-Note1.49%
CPI – Core4.90%30-yr T-Bond1.91%
Money Market Accts.0.28%30-yr Fixed Mortgage3.19%
1-yr CD0.49%Prime Rate3.25%
3-yr CD0.62%Bond Buyer 403.45%
5-yr CD0.81%  

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